SEI UK Strategic Portfolios - Quarterly Investment Review Q4 2019
Summary
Market overview
- Easing trade tensions - The easing of trade tensions, with the agreement of a phase one trade deal between the US and China, and greater clarity around Brexit following the UK general election in December pushed risk assets higher over the final quarter of 2019.
- Equities finish 2020 strong - Equity markets had a strong finish to the year. Excluding currency movements, global equity markets gained 7.1% over the final quarter of 2019, ending the year up 25.5%.
- High yield and emerging markets outperform in fixed income - The riskiest segments of the fixed income market – high yield bonds and emerging market debt – outperformed safe haven developed market government bonds as sentiment improved.
- Reduced political uncertainty supports Sterling - Reduced uncertainty surrounding the likely course of Brexit saw Sterling appreciate sharply, erasing much of the gains in offshore risk assets for UK based investors.
Market Outlook
- We expect that the global economy will continue to expand, albeit at a slower pace.
- We expect inflation to remain under control which should encourage central banks to continue to err on the side of easy monetary policy.
- Quantitative easing should also help keep bond yields relatively steady even as government spending increases.
- Overall we expect the environment will continue to be beneficial for risk assets.
- SEI’s full 2020 outlook No Boom, No Bust, No Bear is available at the following link: seic.com/2020-outlook
Stability Focused Funds
Portfolio Contributions
- The stability focused funds ended the year up between 3.03% and 8.50%, in line with the wealth preservation role they generally play in clients’ portfolios. Negative returns of between -0.53% and -0.96% were witnessed in the last quarter.
- Low volatility equities had a difficult fourth quarter in what was a generally risk-on environment with the defensive, lowest risk segments underperforming.
- This was somewhat offset by the strategies’ exposure to domestic UK equities, with the exception of the Defensive fund, and good security selection, most notably in financials.
- The positive risk sentiment corresponded with a back-up in bonds yields, which proved to be an additional headwind for the stability focused strategies.
Portfolio Themes
- Underweight Duration: The portfolios retain an underweight duration position across US, UK and Japan government bond markets as we view yields as offering poor value in these areas. The portfolios have also retained a modest overweight to inflation linked bonds, predominately US and Japan.
- Cautious Credit: The portfolios are underweight highly rated corporate bonds in favour of more defensive non-agency mortgage backed securities.
Performance
Growth Focused Funds
Portfolio Contributions
- The growth focused funds ended the year up between 11.76% and 18.04%, in excess of their long term rates of expected return. The funds gained between 0.25% and 1.95% for the quarter.
- Exposure to risk assets was beneficial over the quarter, although strong Sterling appreciation dented returns from foreign assets.
- Exposure to UK equities was the biggest contributor to performance, which was further aided by good security selection, notably in financials, within UK equities.
- The portfolios’ US equity exposure lagged the US market during a quarter where the mega-caps and IT continued to dominate.
Portfolio Themes
- Overweight valuation-focused managers: The portfolios’ retain an overweight to valuation-focused managers, as valuation dispersion remain near all-time historical wides.
- Overweight non-US equities: During the quarter we added an overweight position in emerging market and developed world ex US equities at the expense of US equities. Our expectations of continued, modest, global expansion and wide equity valuations between the US and the rest of the world at a time when actual earnings differentials are narrowing should be supportive for this position.
- The full manager lineups within the Strategic Portfolios Diversification at Every Level – Q4 2019 can be found here: seic.com/Q419strategicportfolios
Performance
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SEI Investments (Europe) Limited acts as distributor of collective investment schemes which are authorised in Ireland pursuant to the UCITS regulations and which are collectively referred to as the “SEI Funds” in these materials. These umbrella funds are incorporated in Ireland as limited liability investment companies and are managed by SEI Investments Global Limited, an affiliate of the distributor. SEI Investments (Europe) Limited utilises the SEI funds in its asset management programme to create asset allocation strategies for its clients. Any reference in this document to any SEI funds should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell these securities or to engage in any related investment management services. Recipients of this information who intend to apply for shares in any SEI fund are reminded that any such application must be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the prospectus (which includes a schedule of fees and charges and maximum commission available).
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Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Standardised performance is available upon request. All data is as at 31 December 2019.
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As a result, performance for the total asset class allocation may vary. Not all asset classes discussed are included in all Strategic Portfolios.
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